China
The Bubble that Never Pops
By Thomas Orlik OUP USA, £22.88, from 17 September People have been predicting that China will face a “reckoning day” for many years, says Zhou Xin the South China Morning Post. Its “mountain of debt, economic slowdown and lack of new growth drivers” all point towards a “perfect storm in the making”, they say. The expected crisis has, however, yet to materialise. Thomas Orlik, an economist at Bloomberg, agrees that a crisis is possible, but argues that those expecting one have downplayed other “institutional factors” that could keep China on track, not least its “stable” financial system, “determinedly developmental” state and “creative” policymakers.
One of the strengths of the book is that it resists “stridently ideological” interpretations of the Chinese model, says Thomas Hale…
