Economists saw the step-up 0.5 percentage point VAT increase over the next two financial terms as not only messy, but an indication of government running out of headroom for revenue generation.
The increase, a compromise on an outright 2% VAT increase proposed in the deferred budget from last month, is proposed by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana to raise R28 billion in 2025/6. It included a VAT increase of 0.5% from May 1, 2025, with a further 0.5% increase from April 1, 2026. South Africa is not out of line with the global average VAT rate.
Johann Els, the chief economist at Old Mutual Group, said, "Regarding VAT, the initial proposal of a 2% VAT rate increase has now been revised down to 1%, spread over two years - 0.5% from…