After the prime minister won a vote of no confidence in the House of Commons, the betting markets think that Boris Johnson’s future should be secure for the next few months. With £99,952 matched on Betfair, for example, they have him at 1.02 (98%) not to resign as PM by the end of 30 June. Similarly, with £701,440 matched, they think he is very likely to still be in place by the time the Conservative Party conference begins, currently scheduled for 2 October, putting his odds at 1.27 (78.7%).
However, while punters may think that he will be safe in the very short term, they are much more sceptical about his prospects in the long, or even medium term. Indeed, with £973,232 matched, they put the odds of him quitting…
